In 2023, the number of scientific publications in artificial intelligence in Japan stood at an estimated 1,000 publications. Forecasts indicate a gradual increase from 2024 onwards, reaching approximately 1,060 publications by 2028. This reflects an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 1.06% over the five-year period. Year-on-year variations show a consistent growth pattern, with marginal yet steady increases each year.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in AI research funding, collaborations between academia and industry, and emerging AI subfields such as explainable AI and AI ethics, which may drive higher publication outputs beyond forecasted figures.