The forecasted natural gas domestic extraction in the UK shows a consistent decline from 0.42 metric tons per capita in 2024 to 0.31 in 2028. This indicates a significant downtrend, with an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggesting declining production levels over the five-year period. Compared to the 2023 levels, this downward trend further emphasizes the challenges faced by the domestic natural gas sector. The year-on-year percentage decline highlights a steady reduction in output, reflecting broader moves towards energy transition and stringent environmental policies.

Future trends to watch for:

Government policy shifts towards renewable energy and its impact on natural gas investments.
Technological advancements in energy efficiency and alternative energy sources.
Potential external factors such as geopolitical tensions affecting the UK’s energy supply chain.
Public and market pressure on the UK to meet net-zero emissions targets.