Forecast: Fossil Energy Final Consumption in Agriculture and Forestry in the UK

In 2023, fossil energy consumption in agriculture and forestry in the UK was estimated at 1.02 million tonnes of oil equivalent. The forecast indicates a steady increase from 2024 through 2028, with consumption rising from 1.04 million tonnes to 1.11 million tonnes. The year-on-year growth rates from 2024 to 2027 average around 1.9%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.7% for the entire forecast period. This steady upward trend suggests ongoing, albeit moderate, reliance on fossil fuels in these sectors.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential policy shifts towards renewable energy, impacting fossil fuel demand.
  • Technological advancements in energy efficiency within agriculture and forestry.
  • Market responses to international climate agreements that may drive further reductions in fossil fuel usage.

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