In 2023, fossil energy consumption in agriculture and forestry in the UK was estimated at 1.02 million tonnes of oil equivalent. The forecast indicates a steady increase from 2024 through 2028, with consumption rising from 1.04 million tonnes to 1.11 million tonnes. The year-on-year growth rates from 2024 to 2027 average around 1.9%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.7% for the entire forecast period. This steady upward trend suggests ongoing, albeit moderate, reliance on fossil fuels in these sectors.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential policy shifts towards renewable energy, impacting fossil fuel demand.
- Technological advancements in energy efficiency within agriculture and forestry.
- Market responses to international climate agreements that may drive further reductions in fossil fuel usage.