In 2023, direct transfers on fossil fuels in Brazil stood at an estimated value indicative of steady governmental support. Forecasts for 2024 through 2028 suggest a consistent increase from $1.71 billion in 2024 to $1.74 billion by 2028. This represents a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 0.58% to 0.59% between each year within the forecasted period. The CAGR over the five-year span is estimated to remain stable, reflecting restrained but continuous financial commitment to fossil fuel sectors.
Potential future trends to watch include increased regulatory restrictions on fossil fuels, which may prompt a shift towards subsidizing renewable energy. Monitoring global energy price fluctuations and local policy adjustments will also be crucial in predicting future direct transfer patterns.
