The forecast for fatal accidents at work in public administration and defense, and compulsory social security in Germany shows a stable trend from 2024 to 2028, with no change initially and a slight increase from 2026 onward. The number of accidents per hundred persons in employment is projected to rise slightly from 300 to 310 by 2026 and stabilize thereafter. Year-on-year variations indicate a negligible increase of approximately 3.3% between 2025 and 2026. Over a five-year period, from 2024 to 2028, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) would remain low, reflecting stability in workplace safety.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of increased automation and digital transformation in the public sector, potential regulatory changes, and the role of enhanced safety protocols. Monitoring these areas will be crucial for understanding their effect on accident rates in the coming years.
