The import of corrugated paper and paperboard to Brazil has shown significant fluctuations over the years. In 2013, there was a sharp increase of 35.83%, with the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) standing at 26.09% in the early years. The import volume peaked in 2016, but by 2018, there was a dramatic decline of 64.36%. Although there was a recovery of 70.84% in 2019, the drop continued with a negative CAGR of 18.8% by 2020. In 2021 and 2022, the variations stabilized with minor fluctuations of 17.15% and -2.79%, respectively. By 2023, the volume had further dropped by 2.81%, standing at 364.03 thousand kilograms.
Looking ahead, the forecast suggests a declining trend, with the import volume expected to drop to 309.02 thousand kilograms by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is -2.6%, indicating a gradual annual decrease.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in local production capabilities, changes in trade policies, and the influence of global economic factors, which could impact the import demand for corrugated paper and paperboard in Brazil.