The forecast for fossil energy final consumption in Germany's commercial and public services indicates a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at 219.6 thousand gigawatthours in 2024 and decreasing to 203.22 thousand gigawatthours in 2028. This trend represents a year-on-year decrease in consumption, with a notable compound annual growth rate (CAGR) that averages the consistent reduction over these five years. In 2023, the base year for this forecast analysis, consumption slightly exceeded the 2024 figure, further reflecting the downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of regulatory changes and technological advancements in energy efficiency, as well as potential shifts in Germany's energy policy towards renewable sources which could accelerate the decline in fossil energy consumption. Additionally, monitoring economic factors that could affect energy demand in the commercial and public sectors remains crucial.