In 2023, the percentage of persons aged 15-24 in the Netherlands who were daily smokers stood at 9.7%. The forecasted data from 2024 onwards indicates a steady decline in tobacco consumption among this age group. By 2024, the rate is expected to decrease to 8.9%, followed by further drops to 8.1% in 2025, 7.4% in 2026, 6.7% in 2027, and finally reaching 6.1% by 2028.
The year-on-year percentage variations are as follows:
- 2024: -8.25%
- 2025: -8.99%
- 2026: -8.64%
- 2027: -9.46%
- 2028: -8.96%
The average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2023 to 2028 is approximately -8.66%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of stricter tobacco regulations, public health campaigns, and the possible rise in popularity of smoking alternatives like e-cigarettes among the youth, which could further influence the decline in traditional tobacco consumption.
