Forecast: Civil Aviation Freight Traffic of International Routes in China

China’s civil aviation freight traffic on international routes showed significant variability from 2013 to 2023. The year 2023 saw a value of 278.75 ten thousand metric tons. Notable growth occurred between 2017 and 2018 (9.3%) and again post-COVID recovery in 2021 (19.56%). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at 2.81%, indicating moderate growth.

Looking into the future, the forecast up to 2028 suggests a steady climb with an expected CAGR of 2.48%, culminating in a 13.05% total growth over five years. This forecasted growth is underpinned by a positive outlook for global trade and continued improvements in international logistics infrastructure.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of geopolitical tensions on international freight
  • Technological advancements in logistics and cargo tracking
  • Changes in global trade policies and agreements
  • Environmental regulations affecting aviation industry practices

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