In 2023, the number of incident tuberculosis cases in Japan stood at 10.8 thousand. The forecast data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady decline: 9.52 thousand in 2024, 8.3 thousand in 2025, 7.1 thousand in 2026, 5.9 thousand in 2027, and 4.72 thousand in 2028. Year-on-year, this reflects a noticeable reduction in cases, with a more pronounced decrease as the years progress. Over the last two years, the average decrease is approximately 14.6%, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period is approximately -13.7%.
Future trends to watch include advances in medical treatments and public health initiatives in Japan that might accelerate the decline in tuberculosis cases. Global public health challenges or changes in policy might impact these forecasts, necessitating close monitoring of developments in these areas.
