Forecast: Direct Transfer on All Fossil Fuels for All Beneficiaries or Sectors in Canada

The direct transfers on fossil fuels in Canada are projected to increase from $1.96 billion in 2024 to $3.2 billion by 2028, expressed in constant 2020 US dollars. This represents a consistent annual growth rate over the forecasted period, with no data available for 2023 for comparison. The year-on-year percentage change reflects a steady rise: approximately 15.8% from 2024 to 2025, and an average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of about 10.6% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Policy changes in fossil fuel subsidies amid increasing environmental regulations.
  • Shifts in energy consumption patterns and technological advancements in renewable energy.
  • Economic factors influencing domestic and international fossil fuel markets.

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