Forecast: Hospital Discharges for Diabetes Cases in Italy

The hospital discharges for diabetes cases in Italy have been experiencing a gradual decline from 2013 to 2023, dropping from 59.0 to 42.8 per hundred thousand persons in 2023. This period saw significant year-on-year variations, including a notable decrease in 2020 and a brief increase in 2022, driven by the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent recovery. Over the last two years, the trend shows a stabilization of cases with a slight growth of 0.94% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years sits at -2.31%, indicating a moderate downward trend.

Looking ahead, the forecast from 2024 to 2028 predicts a continuing decline, with hospital discharges estimated to decrease to 36.4 per hundred thousand persons by 2028. The forecasted CAGR for this period is projected at -2.45%, reflecting a steady decrease. Future trends to watch include the potential impact of advancing diabetes management technologies, public health interventions, and changing demographic patterns which could influence the rate of hospital discharges in the coming years.