Forecast: Number of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Chemical Engineering in Canada

The forecast for the number of scientific publications among the world's 10% top-cited publications in chemical engineering in Canada shows a steady decline from 2024 to 2028. From 2024 to 2025, there is a mild year-on-year decrease of approximately 1.01%, followed by consistent reductions in subsequent years. The decrease continues at about 1% each year, amounting to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around -1% from 2024 to 2028.

In 2023, the number of these top-cited publications stood higher than any forecasted from 2024 onwards, suggesting a need for strategies to counteract this declining trend.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Potential impact of increased funding in research and development on publication rates.
  • Changes in international collaboration that might influence Canada's research output.
  • Technological advancements in publishing and dissemination of research.

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