The forecast for the number of scientific publications among the world's 10% top-cited publications in chemical engineering in Canada shows a steady decline from 2024 to 2028. From 2024 to 2025, there is a mild year-on-year decrease of approximately 1.01%, followed by consistent reductions in subsequent years. The decrease continues at about 1% each year, amounting to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around -1% from 2024 to 2028.
In 2023, the number of these top-cited publications stood higher than any forecasted from 2024 onwards, suggesting a need for strategies to counteract this declining trend.
Future trends to watch include:
- Potential impact of increased funding in research and development on publication rates.
- Changes in international collaboration that might influence Canada's research output.
- Technological advancements in publishing and dissemination of research.