In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in critical care nursing in Japan was 98.55%. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent upward trend, with slight annual increases indicating rising involvement or attribution of lead authorship in this field. Specifically, annual growth rates are expected to range from 0.21% to 0.20% year-on-year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately 0.22%.
Future trends to watch for include a potential plateau in growth rate as the share approaches saturation, as well as factors influencing authorship distribution, such as policy changes, educational initiatives, and shifts in the publishing landscape in Japan. Additionally, technological advancements and cross-disciplinary collaborations could impact authorship dynamics.
