Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in the Netherlands

Perinatal mortality in the Netherlands has seen fluctuations over the past decade, with a downward trend overall. In 2023, the perinatal mortality stood at 4.8 deaths per thousand births, showing stability in the years 2021 and 2022 compared to slight increases and decreases in previous years. Year-on-year variation reached as high as 4.35% in 2016 and as low as -8% in 2014. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years stood at -0.41%, indicating a slow but general decrease in mortality rates.

Forecasts suggest a gradual decline in perinatal mortality, reaching 4.5 deaths per thousand births by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is -0.87%, painting a picture of consistent reduction at an average annual rate. This aligns with the projected overall 4.26% decrease over the next five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Advancements in medical technology and prenatal care
  • Government policies and public health initiatives
  • Socio-economic factors affecting healthcare access
  • Research and interventions targeting high-risk pregnancies

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