In 2023, Canada's share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% in artificial intelligence was 11.5%. The forecast for 2024 to 2028 shows a declining trend, with percentages dropping year-on-year from 11.18% in 2024 to 9.89% in 2028.
Year-on-year variation highlights a steady decrease: -2.86% from 2024 to 2025, -3.04% from 2025 to 2026, and -3.04% again from 2026 to 2027. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 indicates a negative growth of approximately -2.39% per year.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential factors influencing the decline include increasing global competition, policy impacts, or shifts in research funding.
- Investment in AI talent development and government policies may play a critical role in turning this trend around.
- Emerging AI sectors, such as quantum computing and ethical AI, could open new opportunities for Canada.
