From 2024 to 2028, the share of U.S. scientific publications in the world's top 10% most-cited in ecology is forecasted to decline slightly, starting at 10.55% in 2024 and decreasing to 9.98% by 2028. This reflects a consistent downward trend, suggesting a moderate decrease in global influence within this scientific field. Year-on-year, the share decreases at a rate of roughly 1.32% on average.
Looking forward, key trends to monitor include global competition intensifying in ecological research, increases in interdisciplinary studies, and potential shifts in funding and policy priorities. These factors may influence the U.S. share of influential ecological publications further.
