In 2023, the number of motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses aged over 20 years in Germany stood at approximately 2.27 thousand. Forecasts for the years 2024 through 2028 project a decrease from 2.01 thousand to 1.16 thousand. The year-on-year variations show a consistent decline, with percentage reductions from 2024 through 2027 averaging around 11-13%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this forecast period indicates an average annual decrease of about 10%.

Future trends to watch for:

Increase in fleet rejuvenation efforts driven by environmental regulations.
Technological advancements promoting the adoption of newer, more efficient vehicle models.
Potential impact of policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting public transportation.