Forecast: Volume of Inland Waterway International Freight Transport in France

The volume of inland waterway international freight transport in France was at 2.15 billion tonne kilometers in 2023. Over the past decade, there's been a noticeable fluctuating trend, with a significant decline from 2.95 billion tonne kilometers in 2013 to lower levels by 2023. The year-on-year variation largely supports this observation, showcasing major drops in 2016 (-6.83%) and particularly in 2020 (-17.46%) amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. The last two years saw continued declines with a year-on-year change of -2.45% in 2022 and -3.35% in 2023. Over the last 5 years, the average annual change (CAGR) was -2.81%.

Future forecasts indicate a continued decline, with the value expected to drop to 1.76 billion tonne kilometers by 2028, representing an anticipated 5-year CAGR of -3.23%. This long-term downward trend suggests potential challenges for the sector.

Future trends to watch for:

• Technological advancements improving efficiency in waterway transport.

• Economic policies affecting inland freight transport demand.

• Environmental regulations impacting infrastructural improvements.

• Alternative transport logistics and competition from other freight methods.

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