In 2023, China's watermelon gross production stood at $14.06 billion in 2004–2006 PPP. From 2024 to 2028, a gradual decline is forecasted, with values decreasing from $14.006 billion to $13.836 billion. The year-on-year percentage decline is projected at approximately 0.3% annually. Over the five-year period from 2024-2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decrease of about 0.3%.
Future trends to watch for include climate change impacts, shifting consumer preferences, and technological advancements in agricultural practices, which may influence production volumes and market dynamics.