The import volume of oranges and mandarines in the United Arab Emirates is forecasted to decline steadily from 266.8 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 239.4 thousand metric tons in 2028. This represents a gradual decrease over the period.
Year-over-year variations show a steady reduction in import volumes: -2.6% in 2025, -2.7% in 2026, -2.7% in 2027, and -2.7% in 2028. This consistent decline suggests a continued downward trend in the importation of these fruits.
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -2.7%, reflecting a modest but noticeable yearly decrease in import volumes.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of local agricultural policies aimed at boosting domestic citrus production, shifting consumer preferences towards locally grown produce, and possible changes in trade regulations influencing import volumes. Additionally, global climatic conditions and their effect on citrus yield in exporting countries should be closely monitored.
