Forecast: Number of Self-Employed Persons in High- and Medium-High (2-Digit Definition) R&D Intensive Activities in the US

The forecast for the number of self-employed persons in high- and medium-high R&D intensive activities in the US shows a gradual increase from 320,000 in 2024 to 325,000 in 2028. Compared to an actual figure in 2023, this series indicates a slow yet steady growth, with year-on-year increments of about 0.3% to 0.6%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024-2028 is modest, reflecting a consistent but limited rise in self-employment within these sectors.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of technological advancements and digital transformation on self-employment in the R&D sector.
  • Changes in economic policies that could affect startup ecosystems and self-employment opportunities.
  • The role of collaborative platforms and remote work in expanding opportunities for self-employment in R&D-intensive fields.
  • Sector-specific shifts, such as increased demand in tech-driven industries, that may influence self-employment rates.

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