The forecast for China's national railway freight ton-kilometer traffic of nonmetal ores indicates a slight downward trend from 2024 to 2028. Values are expected to decrease year-on-year by small margins, starting from 401.35 hundred million tonne kilometers in 2024 to 398.33 in 2028. This gradual decline suggests a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) that may be slightly negative. The baseline for 2023 stood at a point preceding this downward trend, suggesting possible shifts in industrial dynamics or efficiency improvements in logistics.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of China's environmental policies on mining activities and transportation efficiencies, shifts in global demand for nonmetal ores, and advancements in railway technology which may counterbalance the downward trend. Monitoring economic policies, infrastructure investments, and technological innovations will be crucial in predicting future patterns.
