In 2023, the used crop residues trade balance for the UK stood at -11,860 metric tons. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 demonstrate a consistent decline in the trade balance, indicating an increasingly negative trend. Each subsequent year shows a rising deficit, with notable year-on-year percentage increases in the negative balance: around 9.6% in 2025, 8.6% in 2026, 7.8% in 2027, and 7.1% in 2028. This progression yields a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -7.8%.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in agricultural policy, advances in residue processing technologies, and changes in demand for bioenergy, which could impact the trade balance dynamics significantly. Monitoring environmental regulations and sustainability measures will also be crucial as they may influence production and trade practices for crop residues in the UK.
