The forecast for the re-import of nitrogen to France shows a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 806.4 thousand kilograms in 2024, the volume is expected to decrease each year, reaching 390.9 thousand kilograms by 2028. With a decrease of 13% from 2024 to 2025 and approximately 15% annually till 2028, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over these four years is negative, reflecting a significant reduction in re-import volumes each year. This trend manifests a consistent downtrend, indicating potential structural changes or reduced domestic demand for nitrogen re-imports.
Future trends to watch include:
- Potential regulatory changes impacting nitrogen import policies favoring local production.
- Advancements in alternative technologies that reduce nitrogen usage.
- Economic factors influencing agricultural or industrial demand, given nitrogen's relevance in these sectors.