In 2023, fatal accidents in the security and investigation services sector in France stood at 5.23 per hundred thousand persons in employment. Between 2024 and 2028, the projection indicates a slight annual increase in the occurrence of fatal accidents, growing from 5.33 to 5.66. This represents a year-on-year growth of approximately 1.89% from 2024 to 2025, followed by slightly smaller incremental increases as the years progress. Over the five-year span forecasted, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately 1.52%, suggesting an overall modest upward trend in the frequency of these incidents.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of regulatory changes and technological advancements in safety measures, which could mitigate this rising trend. Additionally, economic conditions and their influence on employment levels in the sector, alongside organizational safety culture improvements, could further shape the actual occurrence of fatal accidents moving forward.
