Forecast: Health Expenditure in Vietnam

The health expenditure in Vietnam has shown a steady increase from 2013 to 2023, reaching 8.18% of GDP in 2023. The year-on-year variation peaked at 2.9% in 2013 and subsequently decreased to 1.36% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was 1.45%, indicating a moderate but consistent rise in healthcare spending.

As we look to the future, the forecasted data suggests that health expenditure will continue to rise, reaching 8.7% of GDP by 2028. The forecast for the next five years shows a lower CAGR of 0.97%, implying a slower rate of increase. The forecasted growth rate over these five years is expected to be 4.92% in total.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Changes in healthcare policies that may impact funding and distribution of resources.
  • Economic factors that could influence budget allocations for health.
  • Technological advancements in healthcare that could drive costs.
  • Population demographics, especially aging, that might increase demand for healthcare services.

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