The share of US scientific publications in the world's top 10% cited nephrology research is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028, decreasing from 15.01 in 2024 to 14.46 in 2028. This year-on-year decline is approximately 0.87% in the first two years and 0.89% for the following years individually. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years indicates a moderate, steady decline.

Future trends to watch:

Emergence of new research hubs that could influence citation dynamics.
Increased international collaboration may impact the US share of top-cited publications.
Technological advancements might alter research impact and citation patterns.