The retail output in Germany, excluding motor vehicles and motorcycles, is forecasted to grow steadily from 2024 to 2028. The output is projected to rise from 245.88 billion Euros in 2024 to 277.44 billion Euros in 2028. This marks a year-on-year growth of approximately 3.3% from 2024 to 2025, followed by around 3.1% in the following years. The compound annual growth rate over the forecast period is expected to be approximately 3.1%. For context, the retail output was at 238.32 billion Euros in 2023.

Future trends to watch for in the German retail sector include:

The impact of digital transformation and e-commerce on traditional retail channels.
Consumer shifts towards sustainable and eco-friendly products.
Changes in consumer behavior due to economic fluctuations and inflationary pressures.
Governmental policies affecting trade and retail dynamics.
Technological advancements enhancing the shopping experience and supply chain efficiency.