The volume of oil pipeline national transport in Poland exhibited notable fluctuations during the period from 2013 to 2023, which were reflected in varied year-on-year variations. For instance, the volume peaked in 2013, showing a year-on-year increase, later dropping significantly in 2014. After several years of relatively stable yet fluctuating volumes, 2020 witnessed a steep decline by 16.55%, likely due to the global pandemic's impact on oil demand and transportation. Recovery followed in 2021 and continued until 2022.
In 2023, the volume stood at 763.0 million tonne kilometers, showing a minimal year-on-year increase from the previous year. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) ending 2023 displayed a slight downturn at -0.34%, highlighting the volatility experienced during this period.
Looking forward, the forecast for 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady increase in the volume of oil transported via pipelines. The predicted five-year CAGR stands at 0.45%, indicating a moderate and relatively stable growth expectation, culminating in an overall growth rate of 2.28% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include potential technological advancements in pipeline infrastructure, geopolitical shifts affecting oil supply routes, and evolving energy policies that may influence the future demand for oil transport. Increased focus on sustainable energy sources could also impact the growth trajectory in the long term.
