The forecast for household expenditure on school textbooks and reference books in Japan shows a progressive decline from 1.13 thousand Japanese Yens in 2024 to 0.894 thousand Japanese Yens by 2028. The data reveals a steady year-on-year decrease: 2024-2025 by 5.3%, 2025-2026 by 5.6%, 2026-2027 by 5.9%, and 2027-2028 by 5.9%. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual contraction of -5.6%. In 2023, the expenditure stood at approximately 1.19 thousand Japanese Yens, marking the starting point of this declining trend.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of digital transformation and e-learning materials possibly reducing demand for traditional textbooks.
Potential demographic shifts and their effect on student population and educational expenditures.
Educational policy changes that could alter spending patterns on study materials.