Forecast: Primary Solid Biofuels Final Consumption in Transport Equipment Sector in France

The final consumption of primary solid biofuels in the transport equipment sector in France has experienced notable fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2023, the consumption saw a significant rise from 2.7 to 6.7 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent. This growth has been characterized by periods of rapid increase, such as in 2014 with a 161.01% rise, and steep declines, notably a -29.94% drop in 2018. In recent years, the sector has shown more stability, with a minor increase of 2.86% in 2023 as compared to the previous year.

Over the last two years, the sector has displayed more stabilization, showcasing a consistent, if slight, growth trend. The last five years indicate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.59%, suggesting resilient average year-on-year growth.

Future trends indicate that from 2024 onwards, the forecasted data suggests continued moderate growth with an anticipated CAGR of 2.04% through 2028. This sustained increase, around 10.62% overall growth over the next five years, highlights a steady progression in the sector.

  • Growth from 2.7 to 6.7 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent from 2013 to 2023.
  • Significant year-on-year variations, including a 161.01% increase in 2014.
  • Recent year stabilization with 2.86% growth in 2023.
  • Forecasted continuous growth with a CAGR of 2.04% through 2028.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in biofuel efficiency, fluctuations in oil prices affecting biofuel competitiveness, and regulatory changes promoting renewable energy use in transport.