The forecast for non means-tested net social protection in Italy from 2024 to 2028 shows a slight but consistent annual decline from 85.16% to 85.07% of the Gross Social Protection, indicating a continuous decrease. The year-on-year variation over this period illustrates a marginal downward trend. Over the last two years (2024-2025 and 2025-2026), the percentage value stays largely stable, which suggests a stabilization phase following the trends leading to 2023.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential policy shifts in social protection mechanisms which could affect funding allocations.
Demographic changes, such as aging population, that could increase pressure on social protection systems.
Economic conditions that may necessitate adjustments to social protection budgeting.