In Poland, the fuel oil gross heat production saw fluctuations from 2013 to 2023, with values peaking in 2021 at 3.16 Thousand Terajoules. Observing the past two years, there was a decline; 2022 experienced a 8.78% drop, followed by a 2.53% reduction in 2023, bringing the 2023 figure to 2.81 Thousand Terajoules. Assessing the five-year trend from 2019 to 2023, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was approximately -0.4%, indicating a slight average annual decrease.
Forecasts from 2024 onwards predict a continued decline in fuel oil gross heat production. Specifically, the forecasted values show a downward trend, with a forecasted 2.45 Thousand Terajoules by 2028. The anticipated five-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 stands at -2.15%, signifying an average annual decrease of about 2.15%.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in energy policies promoting cleaner energy sources, technological advancements in energy efficiency, and global oil market fluctuations that could significantly impact fuel oil gross heat production in Poland.
