The inland freight waterway transport sector in Poland experienced significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The sector reached its peak in 2013, and since then, there has been a continuous downward trend. The year-on-year decreases have been particularly pronounced since 2015, with the most severe drops in 2018 and 2023. By 2023, the sector's value stood at 125.3 million Zloty, reflecting a substantial decline from the broader trend. The average annual decrease over the last five years (CAGR) reached -8.2%, indicating a persistent shrinking trend in this sector.
Looking forward, the forecasts from 2024 to 2028 suggest an accelerated decline, with values expected to drop further at an annual average rate (CAGR) of -29.35%. By 2028, the sector's value is projected to plummet to just 18.2 million Zloty, marking a dramatic reduction of 82.4% compared to 2023 levels.
Future trends to watch for:
- Structural changes in transport infrastructure policies.
- Shifts towards more sustainable and eco-friendly transport options.
- Technological advancements that could potentially revitalize the sector.
- Implications of new economic policies on the sector's competitiveness.
