Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition in the US

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in computer vision and pattern recognition in the US is forecasted to slightly decline from 89.59% in 2024 to 89.02% in 2028. The year-on-year decrease is gradual, reflecting a consistent but slight contraction in the leading authors' share. The data points to a consistent annual decrease of roughly 0.15 percentage points per year over the analyzed period. Where this stood at 2023 was slightly higher, indicative of a downward trend.

Future trends to watch for include the potential increase of international co-authorship and collaborations, which may further influence the share of corresponding authors. Additionally, emerging research from tech hubs outside the US could shift author dynamics, impacting the data further.