In 2023, the share of male practising physicians aged 45-54 in Japan was below 70.9%. From 2024, a steady decrease is forecasted: a decline of 1.28% in 2025, 1.82% in 2026, 1.86% in 2027, and 1.88% in 2028. This reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around -1.85%, indicating a consistent downward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential changes in medical school enrollment patterns could further influence the gender composition of physicians.
Policy shifts or healthcare demands might alter workforce dynamics, impacting male representation in this age group.
Socio-economic factors and work-life balance preferences may also continue to shape the landscape.