Forecast: Number of Independent Car Rental Locations in the US

The number of independent car rental locations in the US has witnessed fluctuations over the past decade. In 2023, the value stood at 5.27 thousand locations. There was substantial year-on-year variability, particularly a significant dip in 2020 (-17.6%) due to the COVID-19 pandemic. From 2021 to 2023, the trend showed recovery with a peak in 2022 at 5.31 thousand. Over the last five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) averaged at -0.7%, indicating a slight decline. Forecast data suggests a continued moderate decline with a CAGR of -0.56% up to 2028, alongside an overall 2.76% drop over the forecast period.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advancements in vehicle sharing and rental platforms.
  • Potential market consolidation and the impact on independent operators.
  • Changing consumer preferences towards mobility solutions like ride-sharing.
  • Regulations and environmental policies impacting the industry's structure.

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