In 2023, the natural rubber yield in China stood at 11.96 thousand hectograms per hectare. Over the years, the annual yield showed some volatility. From 2013 to 2016, yields generally declined, experiencing a notable drop of 7.89% in 2015. Following a modest recovery in 2017 with a 5.53% increase, the yield remained relatively stable with minor fluctuations until 2023, which saw a slight year-on-year growth of 0.15%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was 0.13%, reflecting a period of slow yet consistent growth.
Looking ahead, forecasted data suggests that the yield will continue to grow at a meager rate, with a five-year CAGR of 0.11%. This indicates an expected growth rate of 0.56% over the period from 2023 to 2028, highlighting a stable but slow upward trend.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of technological advancements in agriculture, climate change effects on rubber plantations, and potential shifts in policy that could influence production methods and efficiency.
