The UK's fossil fuels energy import dependency ratio is forecasted to steadily increase from 63.6% in 2024 to 65.4% in 2028. Compared to 2023, where the dependency was notable yet slightly lower, this represents a consistent rise. Observing year-on-year changes, there is an approximate annual growth rate of around 0.7% to 0.8%. This trend reflects a growing reliance on imported fossil fuels within this forecast period. Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a stable incremental increase.
Future trends to watch for include the UK’s potential strategic shifts towards renewable energy sources, policy changes to curb dependency, and global geopolitical impacts on energy imports. These factors will play a crucial role in shaping energy import strategies beyond 2028.