Forecast: Unmet Need for Contraception Among Married Women Aged 15-49 in Kenya

The unmet need for contraception among married women aged 15-49 in Kenya has shown a notable decline over the years. From a high of 17.5 in 2014, it stands at 12.49 in 2023. The analysis reveals several year-on-year variations, with a significant reduction between 2016 to 2018, and an uptick in 2019. The most considerable annual decrease is seen in 2020 at -15.29%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the past five years is -2.66%. The forecasted figures from 2024 to 2028 show a continued downward trend, projecting a notable decline with a forecast CAGR of -5.25% and an overall growth rate reduction of -23.65%.

Future trends to watch for:

- The sustained decline in unmet need suggests increased access to and utilization of contraception.

- Potential policies or healthcare interventions that could further accelerate the reduction rate.

- Socioeconomic factors that might influence contraceptive use and family planning decisions.

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