In 2023, the share of scientific publications among the world's 10% top-cited publications in Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics in the US stood at a certain level. From 2024 to 2028, a clear declining trend is noticeable: starting at 11.71% in 2024, the value steadily falls to 10.16% by 2028. The annual percentage decrease is consistent over the given years, showcasing a year-on-year decline. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this period reflects a gradual reduction trend in the share of top-cited publications from the US in these scientific disciplines.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impact of new funding sources and research initiatives on publication quality and quantity.
- Increasing international competition leading to a shifting share of top-cited works.
- Technological advancements aiding research processes could reverse the trend.