In 2024, Canada's share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in ecology is forecasted to be 10.38%. This figure represents the baseline year for upcoming forecasts. A subtle declining trend is anticipated over the next several years, with the share decreasing to 9.97% by 2028.
Year-on-year, this indicates a steady decline, suggesting a gradual reduction in Canada's presence in the top echelon of cited publications within this field. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period from 2024 to 2028 reflects an average annual decrease.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of investment in research and development, changes in global collaboration patterns, and shifts in academic focus areas that might influence Canada's standing in ecological research. Monitoring these factors will be critical in forecasting subsequent contributions to top-cited publications.
