Based on the actual data up to 2023 and forecasted data for the coming years, Turkey's scientific publications in drug discovery show a trend of fluctuating yet overall growth. In 2023, the number of publications stood at 126.95 units. Notably, while there were periods of decline between 2017 and 2020, recent years exhibit a recovery and steady increase in publications. The year-on-year variations show some volatility; for instance, a significant drop in 2017 followed by gradual recovery and growth leading up to 2023. The CAGR over the last five years stands at 4.69% as of 2023. Future forecasts suggest a continued positive trend with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.15% and an overall growth rate of 11.25% by 2028.

For future trends, it will be essential to watch for:

Government and institutional funding changes in drug discovery research.
International collaborations and their impact on research output.
Technological advancements and their adoption in Turkey's drug discovery process.
Policies related to intellectual property and scientific research.
The influence of global health issues and their prioritization in research agendas.