As of 2023, Italy's domestic material consumption of fossil fuels was at 124 million metric tons. From 2024 to 2028, a consistent decline is forecasted. The year-on-year percentage changes reflect a gradual reduction in consumption: 2024 to 2025 sees a 1.62% decrease, 2025 to 2026 shows a 1.63% drop, 2026 to 2027 a 1.61% decrease, and 2027 to 2028 a 1.61% decline. Over these five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to be -1.61%, indicating a steady decrease in fossil fuel consumption.

Future trends to watch for include:

Italy's potential policy shifts towards renewable energy sources, possibly accelerating the reduction in fossil fuel consumption.
Technological innovations that could further decrease energy dependence on fossil fuels and improve energy efficiency.
Economic and industrial activities that might impact consumption patterns, influencing future forecasts.