The number of road injury accidents in built-up areas in Poland has exhibited fluctuating trends over the past decade. Starting at 26.08 thousand accidents in 2013 and reducing to 23.66 thousand in 2015, it saw a significant increase in 2016 at 27.7 thousand. Subsequently, from 2017 onwards, a gradual decline has been observed, reaching 25.57 thousand accidents in 2023. The year-on-year variations indicate periods of both decline and growth, with significant changes in 2015 (-6.74%) and 2016 (17.07%). Notably, the rolling CAGR over the last five years prior to 2024 stands at -0.1%, indicating a slight overall decrease in accidents.
Forecast data suggests a continued decline, with values predicted to reach 25.1 thousand by 2028, translating to a forecast 5-year CAGR of -0.3%. The forecasted growth rate over the same period is -1.47%, underscoring a trend toward fewer road injury accidents in built-up areas.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technology, improved road infrastructure, and stricter traffic regulations. Furthermore, the impact of increasing urbanization and changing mobility patterns, such as the rise of cycling and electric scooters, could influence accident rates and require continuous monitoring.
