In 2023, direct transfers to fossil fuel producers in China amounted to 3.89 billion USD in constant 2020 terms. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase, with values rising incrementally each year, starting from 4.07 billion USD in 2024 and reaching 4.76 billion USD by 2028. This indicates a stable year-on-year growth trend of approximately 4.27% on average. Over the forecasted period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is anticipated to be roughly 4.16%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Shifts in China's energy policies, aiming for carbon neutrality could impact subsidies significantly.
Potential global economic shifts and energy price volatility that might affect investment patterns.
Technology advancements and their role in reducing reliance on fossil fuels, possibly reshaping financial support strategies.