The forecast for the UK's national annual road freight transport of goods unloaded in border regions shows a steep decline from 13.63 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.67 million metric tons in 2028. Year-on-year variations indicate a continual significant decrease: a 20.73% decline from 2024 to 2025, a 25.60% decline from 2025 to 2026, a 33.71% decline from 2026 to 2027, and finally, a 49.91% decline from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period is indicative of a sharp negative trend, highlighting persistent reductions in freight volumes.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Economic and trade policy changes post-Brexit that could impact cross-border goods movement.
- Infrastructure developments or investments potentially reversing the declining trend.
- Technological advancements in logistics and transport efficiency driving reductions in freight volumes.
- Environmental policies aiming at reducing transportation emissions influencing road freight dynamics.
