The forecasted data for production-based CO2 emissions in China show a consistent year-on-year increase from 2024 to 2028, starting at 10.71 billion metric tons in 2024 and reaching 11.31 billion metric tons by 2028. This equates to an annual growth rate of approximately 1.39%, reflecting a steady upward trend in emissions over the five-year period. Such a trend underscores the growing environmental challenge China faces as it continues to industrialize.
Looking ahead, key trends to watch include China’s commitment to peak emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. The country’s investment in renewable energy, electric vehicles, and green technologies will be pivotal in determining the pace and effectiveness of its transition to a low-carbon economy. Additionally, China’s policies on coal consumption, industrial efficiency, and urban development will significantly impact its future emission trajectories.