The forecast for sunflowerseed oil stock variation in Brazil shows a consistent decrease from 2024 to 2028. In 2024, the stock is projected at -4,700 metric tons, declining steadily each year to -7,800 metric tons by 2028. This indicates a persistent deficit compared to the baseline of 2023. The year-on-year decline averages around 13% during this period. This downward trend reflects ongoing challenges in supply or potential increases in domestic consumption or export demand. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the stock reduction also aligns with these year-on-year trends.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts of climate change on sunflowerseed production, shifts in domestic policies affecting agricultural outputs, and variations in global market demand that could influence Brazil's sunflowerseed oil production and stock levels. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in understanding future dynamics in sunflowerseed oil availability in Brazil.